Texas 23th — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Texas 23th — House dem primary is scheduled for March 3, 2026. The model makes Katy Padilla Stout the clear favorite at 79%, ahead of Santos Limon at 15% in a 4-candidate field. Katy Padilla Stout leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Katy Padilla Stout — 79%
- Santos Limon — 15%
- Gretel Enck — 3%
- Bruce Richardson — 3%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.