Texas 22th — House 2026 Rep Primary

The Texas 22th — House rep primary is scheduled for March 3, 2026. The model favors Trever Nehls at 65%, ahead of Rebecca Clark at 35%. Trever Nehls leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

  1. Trever Nehls — 65%
  2. Rebecca Clark — 35%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

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