Texas 22th — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Texas 22th — House dem primary is scheduled for March 3, 2026. The model makes Marquette Greene-Scott the clear favorite at 77%, ahead of Pearl Vuorinen at 10% in a 5-candidate field. Marquette Greene-Scott leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Marquette Greene-Scott — 77%
- Pearl Vuorinen — 10%
- Robert Thomas — 4%
- Chris Fernandez — 4%
- Sterling Gadison — 4%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.