Texas 21th — House 2026 Rep Primary

The Texas 21th — House rep primary is scheduled for March 3, 2026. The model makes Mark Teixeira the clear favorite at 77%, ahead of Daniel Betts at 3% in a 11-candidate field. Mark Teixeira leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

1. Mark Teixeira — 77%
2. Daniel Betts — 3%
3. Zeke Enriquez — 2%
4. Weston Martinez — 2%
5. Paul Rojas — 2%
6. Jason Cahill — 2%
7. Trey Trainor — 2%
8. Michael Wheeler — 2%

+3 more candidates

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.

All 2026 race forecasts · About the model