Texas 21th — House 2026 Rep Primary
The Texas 21th — House rep primary is scheduled for March 3, 2026. The model favors Mark Teixeira at 75%, ahead of Daniel Betts at 3% in a 11-candidate field. Mark Teixeira leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Mark Teixeira — 75%
- Daniel Betts — 3%
- Trey Trainor — 3%
- Zeke Enriquez — 2%
- Jason Cahill — 2%
- Michael Wheeler — 2%
- Weston Martinez — 2%
- Paul Rojas — 2%
+3 more candidates
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.