Texas 21th — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Texas 21th — House dem primary is scheduled for March 3, 2026. The model makes Kristin Hook the heavy favorite at 94%, with Regina Vanburg at 3% in a 3-candidate field. Kristin Hook leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Kristin Hook — 94%
- Regina Vanburg — 3%
- Gary Taylor — 3%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.