Texas 20th — House 2026 General Election
The Texas 20th — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Democrat Joaquin Castro the heavy favorite at 100%, with Republican Edgardo Baez at 0%. Joaquin Castro is the incumbent and leads the field in reported fundraising. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Joaquin Castro (incumbent) — 100%
- Edgardo Baez — 0%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.