Texas 16th — House 2026 Rep Primary
The Texas 16th — House rep primary is scheduled for March 3, 2026. The model sees a close race: Hector Cabildo edges Deliris Montanez Berrios, 22% to 15% in a 7-candidate field. Hector Cabildo leads the field in reported fundraising. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Hector Cabildo — 22%
- Deliris Montanez Berrios — 15%
- Manuel Barraza — 13%
- Adam Bauman — 13%
- Raul Castaneda — 13%
- Marisela Chavez — 13%
- Ruben Rios — 13%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.