Texas 16th — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Texas 16th — House dem primary is scheduled for March 3, 2026. The model makes Veronica Escobar the heavy favorite at 97%, with Arturo Andujo at 3%. Veronica Escobar is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Veronica Escobar (incumbent) — 97%
- Arturo Andujo — 3%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.