Texas 15th — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Texas 15th — House dem primary is scheduled for March 3, 2026. The model sees a close race: Bobby Pulido edges Ada Cuellar, 52% to 48%. Bobby Pulido leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Bobby Pulido — 52%
- Ada Cuellar — 48%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.