Texas 14th — House 2026 Dem Primary

The Texas 14th — House dem primary is scheduled for March 3, 2026. The model favors Richard Davis at 59%, ahead of Thurman Bartie at 30% in a 3-candidate field. Richard Davis leads the field in reported fundraising and Konstantinos Vogiatzis has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

  1. Richard Davis — 59%
  2. Thurman Bartie — 30%
  3. Konstantinos Vogiatzis — 11%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.

All 2026 race forecasts · About the model