Texas 11th — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Texas 11th — House dem primary is scheduled for March 3, 2026. The model makes Claire Reynolds the heavy favorite at 96%, with Pedro Ruiz at 4%. Claire Reynolds leads the field in reported fundraising and Pedro Ruiz has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Claire Reynolds — 96%
- Pedro Ruiz — 4%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.