Texas 10th — House 2026 Rep Primary

The Texas 10th — House rep primary is scheduled for March 3, 2026. The model makes Chris Gober the clear favorite at 82%, ahead of Rob Altman at 3% in a 8-candidate field. Chris Gober leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

1. Chris Gober — 82%
2. Rob Altman — 3%
3. Ben Bius — 3%
4. Kara King — 2%
5. Scott MacLeod — 2%
6. Jeremy Story — 2%
7. Jenny Garcia Sharon — 2%
8. Brandon Hawbraker — 2%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.

All 2026 race forecasts · About the model