Texas 10th — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Texas 10th — House dem primary is scheduled for March 3, 2026. The model makes Dawn Marshall the heavy favorite at 91%, with Bernardo Reyna at 9%. Dawn Marshall leads the field in reported fundraising. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Dawn Marshall — 91%
- Bernardo Reyna — 9%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.