Texas 9th — House 2026 Runoff

The Texas 9th — House runoff is scheduled for May 26, 2026. The model favors Alex Mealer at 68%, ahead of Briscoe Cain at 32%. Alex Mealer leads the field in reported fundraising and Briscoe Cain has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

  1. Alex Mealer — 68%
  2. Briscoe Cain — 32%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 14, 2026.

All 2026 race forecasts · About the model