Texas 9th — House 2026 Rep Primary
The Texas 9th — House rep primary is scheduled for March 3, 2026. The model favors Alex Mealer at 58%, ahead of Briscoe Cain at 30% in a 8-candidate field. Alex Mealer leads the field in reported fundraising and Briscoe Cain has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Alex Mealer — 58%
- Briscoe Cain — 30%
- Dan Mims — 2%
- Steve Stockman — 2%
- Jaimy Blanco — 2%
- Terry Thain — 2%
- Michael Curran — 2%
- Crystal DeLeon-Sarmiento — 2%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.