Texas 9th — House 2026 General Election

The Texas 9th — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model favors Democrat Leticia Gutierrez at 63%, ahead of Republican Alex Mealer at 37%. Alex Mealer leads the field in reported fundraising. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

  1. Leticia Gutierrez — 63%
  2. Alex Mealer — 37%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated October 26, 2026.

All 2026 race forecasts · About the model