Texas 9th — House 2026 Dem Primary

The Texas 9th — House dem primary is scheduled for March 3, 2026. The model favors Terry Virts at 72%, ahead of Leticia Gutierrez at 13% in a 6-candidate field. Terry Virts leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

  1. Terry Virts — 72%
  2. Leticia Gutierrez — 13%
  3. Todd Ivey — 4%
  4. Earnest Clayton — 3%
  5. Peter Filler — 3%
  6. Marty Rocha — 3%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated October 26, 2026.

All 2026 race forecasts · About the model