Texas 9th — House 2026 Dem Primary

The Texas 9th — House dem primary is scheduled for March 3, 2026. The model makes Terry Virts the clear favorite at 81%, ahead of Todd Ivey at 5% in a 6-candidate field. Terry Virts leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

  1. Terry Virts — 81%
  2. Todd Ivey — 5%
  3. Leticia Gutierrez — 4%
  4. Earnest Clayton — 3%
  5. Peter Filler — 3%
  6. Marty Rocha — 3%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.

All 2026 race forecasts · About the model