Texas 8th — House 2026 Rep Primary

The Texas 8th — House rep primary is scheduled for March 3, 2026. The model makes Jessica Steinmann the heavy favorite at 94%, with Jay Fondren at 3% in a 3-candidate field. Jessica Steinmann leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

  1. Jessica Steinmann — 94%
  2. Jay Fondren — 3%
  3. Stephen Long — 3%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

All 2026 race forecasts · About the model