Texas 7th — House 2026 Rep Primary
The Texas 7th — House rep primary is scheduled for March 3, 2026. The model makes Alexander Kalai the clear favorite at 83%, ahead of Alexander Hale at 11% in a 4-candidate field. Alexander Kalai leads the field in reported fundraising and Alexander Hale has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Alexander Kalai — 83%
- Alexander Hale — 11%
- Tina Blum Cohen — 3%
- Erin Montgomery — 3%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.