Texas 6th — House 2026 General Election
The Texas 6th — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Republican Jake Ellzey the heavy favorite at 100%, with Democrat Danny Minton at 0%. Jake Ellzey is the incumbent and leads the field in reported fundraising. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Jake Ellzey (incumbent) — 100%
- Danny Minton — 0%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.