Texas 5th — House 2026 General Election
The Texas 5th — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Republican Lance Gooden the heavy favorite at 100%, with Democrat Chelsey Hockett at 0%. Lance Gooden is the incumbent and leads the field in reported fundraising and Chelsey Hockett has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Lance Gooden (incumbent) — 100%
- Chelsey Hockett — 0%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.