Texas 5th — House 2026 General Election
The Texas 5th — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Republican Lance Gooden the heavy favorite at 100%, with Democrat Forrest Lumpkin at 0%. Lance Gooden is the incumbent and leads the field in reported fundraising. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Lance Gooden (incumbent) — 100%
- Forrest Lumpkin — 0%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.