Texas 5th — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Texas 5th — House dem primary is scheduled for March 3, 2026. The model makes Chelsey Hockett the heavy favorite at 91%, with Ruth Torres at 6% in a 3-candidate field. Chelsey Hockett leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Chelsey Hockett — 91%
- Ruth Torres — 6%
- Forrest Lumpkin — 3%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated October 26, 2026.