Texas 5th — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Texas 5th — House dem primary is scheduled for March 3, 2026. The model favors Chelsey Hockett at 65%, ahead of Ruth Torres at 30% in a 3-candidate field. Ruth Torres leads the field in reported fundraising and Chelsey Hockett has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Chelsey Hockett — 65%
- Ruth Torres — 30%
- Forrest Lumpkin — 6%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.