Texas 5th — House 2026 Dem Primary

The Texas 5th — House dem primary is scheduled for March 3, 2026. The model favors Ruth Torres at 64%, ahead of Chelsey Hockett at 33% in a 3-candidate field. Ruth Torres leads the field in reported fundraising and Chelsey Hockett has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

1. Ruth Torres — 64%
2. Chelsey Hockett — 33%
3. Forrest Lumpkin — 3%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.

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