Texas 2nd — House 2026 General Election
The Texas 2nd — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model favors Republican Steve Toth at 67%, ahead of Democrat Shaun Finnie at 33%. Shaun Finnie leads the field in reported fundraising and Steve Toth has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Steve Toth — 67%
- Shaun Finnie — 33%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.