Texas 2nd — House 2026 General Election
The Texas 2nd — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Republican Dan Crenshaw the clear favorite at 89%, ahead of Democrat Shaun Finnie at 11%. Dan Crenshaw is the incumbent and leads the field in reported fundraising. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Dan Crenshaw (incumbent) — 89%
- Shaun Finnie — 11%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.