Texas 1st — House 2026 General Election
The Texas 1st — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Republican Nathaniel Moran the heavy favorite at 100%, with Democrat Tracy Andrus at 0%. Nathaniel Moran is the incumbent and leads the field in reported fundraising. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Nathaniel Moran (incumbent) — 100%
- Tracy Andrus — 0%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.