Texas 1st — House 2026 Dem Primary

The Texas 1st — House dem primary is scheduled for March 3, 2026. The model makes Yolanda Prince the clear favorite at 77%, ahead of Dax Alexander at 10% in a 4-candidate field. Yolanda Prince leads the field in reported fundraising. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

1. Yolanda Prince — 77%
2. Dax Alexander — 10%
3. Masika Ray — 8%
4. Tracy Andrus — 5%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated October 26, 2026.

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