Texas 1st — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Texas 1st — House dem primary is scheduled for March 3, 2026. The model favors Masika Ray at 60%, ahead of Dax Alexander at 16% in a 4-candidate field. Masika Ray leads the field in reported fundraising. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Masika Ray — 60%
- Dax Alexander — 16%
- Yolanda Prince — 15%
- Tracy Andrus — 9%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.