Texas Governor 2026 Rep Primary
The Texas Governor rep primary is scheduled for March 3, 2026. The model makes Greg Abbott the clear favorite at 76%, ahead of R.F. "Bob" Achgill at 2% in a 11-candidate field. Greg Abbott is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Greg Abbott (incumbent) — 76%
- R.F. "Bob" Achgill — 2%
- Evelyn Brooks — 2%
- Pete "Doc" Chambers — 2%
- Charles Andrew Crouch — 2%
- Arturo Espinosa — 2%
- Mark V. Goloby — 2%
- Kenneth Hyde — 2%
+3 more candidates
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.