Texas Governor 2026 Dem Primary
The Texas Governor dem primary is scheduled for March 3, 2026. The model sees a close race: Gina Hinojosa edges Patricia Abrego, 15% to 11% in a 9-candidate field. Gina Hinojosa has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Gina Hinojosa — 15%
- Patricia Abrego — 11%
- Chris Bell — 11%
- Bobby Cole — 11%
- Carlton Hart — 11%
- Jose Navarro Balbuena — 11%
- Faizan Syed — 11%
- Zach Vance — 11%
+1 more candidates
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.