Texas Governor 2026 Dem Primary

The Texas Governor dem primary is scheduled for March 3, 2026. The model makes Gina Hinojosa the clear favorite at 80%, ahead of Chris Bell at 7% in a 9-candidate field. Gina Hinojosa leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

  1. Gina Hinojosa — 80%
  2. Chris Bell — 7%
  3. Bobby Cole — 4%
  4. Angela Villescaz — 3%
  5. Patricia Abrego — 1%
  6. Carlton Hart — 1%
  7. Jose Navarro Balbuena — 1%
  8. Faizan Syed — 1%

+1 more candidates

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.

All 2026 race forecasts · About the model