Tennessee Senate 2026 General Election
The Tennessee Senate general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Republican Bill Hagerty the heavy favorite at 100%, with Democrat Marquita Bradshaw at 0%. Bill Hagerty is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Bill Hagerty (incumbent) — 100%
- Marquita Bradshaw — 0%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated September 11, 2026.