Tennessee Senate 2026 Dem Primary
The Tennessee Senate dem primary is scheduled for August 6, 2026. The model makes Maria Brewer the clear favorite at 81%, ahead of Marquita Bradshaw at 8% in a 4-candidate field. Maria Brewer leads the field in reported fundraising. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Maria Brewer — 81%
- Marquita Bradshaw — 8%
- Civil Miller-Watkins — 6%
- Diana Onyejiaka — 6%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.