Tennessee Senate 2026 Dem Primary

The Tennessee Senate dem primary is scheduled for August 6, 2026. The model makes Marquita Bradshaw the clear favorite at 78%, ahead of Maria Brewer at 7% in a 4-candidate field. Marquita Bradshaw leads the field in reported fundraising. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

  1. Marquita Bradshaw — 78%
  2. Maria Brewer — 7%
  3. Civil Miller-Watkins — 7%
  4. Diana Onyejiaka — 7%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

All 2026 race forecasts · About the model