Tennessee 9th — House 2026 Rep Primary
The Tennessee 9th — House rep primary is scheduled for August 6, 2026. The model makes Charlotte Bergmann the clear favorite at 82%, ahead of Brent Taylor at 6% in a 4-candidate field. Charlotte Bergmann leads the field in reported fundraising and Brent Taylor has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Charlotte Bergmann — 82%
- Brent Taylor — 6%
- Todd Warner — 6%
- Jeremy Thompson — 6%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.