Tennessee 6th — House 2026 Rep Primary
The Tennessee 6th — House rep primary is scheduled for August 6, 2026. The model sees a close race: Johnny Garrett edges Van Hilleary, 49% to 47% in a 4-candidate field. Johnny Garrett leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements and incumbent Van Hilleary trails in the forecast. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Johnny Garrett — 49%
- Van Hilleary (incumbent) — 47%
- Jon Henry — 2%
- Natisha Brooks — 2%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.