Tennessee 6th — House 2026 Rep Primary

The Tennessee 6th — House rep primary is scheduled for August 6, 2026. The model favors Johnny Garrett at 66%, ahead of Van Hilleary at 29% in a 4-candidate field. Johnny Garrett leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

  1. Johnny Garrett — 66%
  2. Van Hilleary — 29%
  3. Jon Henry — 2%
  4. Natisha Brooks — 2%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated October 26, 2026.

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