Tennessee 6th — House 2026 Dem Primary

The Tennessee 6th — House dem primary is scheduled for August 6, 2026. The model has Mike Croley narrowly ahead of Chaney Mosley, 51% to 37% in a 5-candidate field. Mike Croley leads the field in reported fundraising. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

1. Mike Croley — 51%
2. Chaney Mosley — 37%
3. Lore Bergman — 4%
4. Christopher Martin Finley — 4%
5. Miriam Leibowitz — 4%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated October 26, 2026.

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