Tennessee 6th — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Tennessee 6th — House dem primary is scheduled for August 6, 2026. The model makes Chaney Mosley the clear favorite at 77%, ahead of Mike Croley at 6% in a 6-candidate field. Chaney Mosley leads the field in reported fundraising. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Chaney Mosley — 77%
- Mike Croley — 6%
- Megan Barry — 4%
- Lore Bergman — 4%
- Christopher Martin Finley — 4%
- Miriam Leibowitz — 4%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.