Tennessee 5th — House 2026 Rep Primary
The Tennessee 5th — House rep primary is scheduled for August 6, 2026. The model sees a close race: Charlie Hatcher edges Andy Ogles, 50% to 50%. Charlie Hatcher leads the field in reported fundraising, Andy Ogles has the most tracked endorsements, and incumbent Andy Ogles trails in the forecast. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Charlie Hatcher — 50%
- Andy Ogles (incumbent) — 50%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated October 26, 2026.