Tennessee 5th — House 2026 Rep Primary
The Tennessee 5th — House rep primary is scheduled for August 6, 2026. The model sees a close race: Andy Ogles edges Charlie Hatcher, 54% to 46%. Andy Ogles is the incumbent and has the most tracked endorsements and Charlie Hatcher leads the field in reported fundraising. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Andy Ogles (incumbent) — 54%
- Charlie Hatcher — 46%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.