Tennessee 5th — House 2026 General Election
The Tennessee 5th — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model favors Democrat Chaz Molder at 67%, ahead of Republican Andy Ogles at 33%. Chaz Molder leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements and incumbent Andy Ogles trails in the forecast. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Chaz Molder — 67%
- Andy Ogles (incumbent) — 33%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.