Tennessee 5th — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Tennessee 5th — House dem primary is scheduled for August 6, 2026. The model makes Chaz Molder the clear favorite at 89%, ahead of Rachel Hurley at 3% in a 5-candidate field. Chaz Molder leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Chaz Molder — 89%
- Rachel Hurley — 3%
- Yolanda Cooper-Sutton — 3%
- DeVante R. Hill — 3%
- Carrie Ann Iacomini — 3%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.