Tennessee 4th — House 2026 Rep Primary
The Tennessee 4th — House rep primary is scheduled for August 6, 2026. The model makes Scott DesJarlais the heavy favorite at 91%, with Tom Davis at 3% in a 4-candidate field. Scott DesJarlais is the incumbent and leads the field in reported fundraising. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Scott DesJarlais (incumbent) — 91%
- Tom Davis — 3%
- Joshua James — 3%
- Harold "Rocky" Jones — 3%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.