Tennessee 4th — House 2026 General Election

The Tennessee 4th — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Republican Scott DesJarlais the heavy favorite at 91%, with Democrat Mike Cortese at 9%. Scott DesJarlais is the incumbent and Mike Cortese leads the field in reported fundraising. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

  1. Scott DesJarlais (incumbent) — 91%
  2. Mike Cortese — 9%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

All 2026 race forecasts · About the model