Tennessee 4th — House 2026 Dem Primary

The Tennessee 4th — House dem primary is scheduled for August 6, 2026. The model makes Mike Cortese the clear favorite at 87%, ahead of Victoria Broderick at 4% in a 5-candidate field. Mike Cortese leads the field in reported fundraising and Victoria Broderick has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

  1. Mike Cortese — 87%
  2. Victoria Broderick — 4%
  3. Joyce E. Neal — 3%
  4. Cliff Huffman — 3%
  5. Tim Lanier — 3%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

All 2026 race forecasts · About the model