Tennessee 1st — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Tennessee 1st — House dem primary is scheduled for August 6, 2026. The model makes Kristi Burke the heavy favorite at 93%, with Herman Garcia at 3% in a 3-candidate field. Kristi Burke leads the field in reported fundraising. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Kristi Burke — 93%
- Herman Garcia — 3%
- David Kerr — 3%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.