Tennessee Governor 2026 Rep Primary
The Tennessee Governor rep primary is scheduled for August 6, 2026. The model sees a close race: Marsha Blackburn edges John Rose, 53% to 45% in a 3-candidate field. Marsha Blackburn leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Marsha Blackburn — 53%
- John Rose — 45%
- Monty Fritts — 2%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.