Tennessee Governor 2026 Rep Primary
The Tennessee Governor rep primary is scheduled for August 6, 2026. The model favors Marsha Blackburn at 75%, ahead of John Rose at 17% in a 3-candidate field. John Rose leads the field in reported fundraising and Marsha Blackburn has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Marsha Blackburn — 75%
- John Rose — 17%
- Monty Fritts — 9%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.