Tennessee Governor 2026 General Election

The Tennessee Governor general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Republican Marsha Blackburn the heavy favorite at 98%, with Democrat Jerri Green at 2%. Marsha Blackburn has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

  1. Marsha Blackburn — 98%
  2. Jerri Green — 2%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated September 11, 2026.

All 2026 race forecasts · About the model