Tennessee Governor 2026 General Election
The Tennessee Governor general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Republican Marsha Blackburn the heavy favorite at 99%, with Democrat Jerri Green at 1%. Marsha Blackburn has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Marsha Blackburn — 99%
- Jerri Green — 1%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.