Tennessee Governor 2026 Dem Primary
The Tennessee Governor dem primary is scheduled for August 6, 2026. The model makes Jerri Green the heavy favorite at 90%, with Adam "Ditch" Kurtz at 3% in a 4-candidate field. Jerri Green leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Jerri Green — 90%
- Adam "Ditch" Kurtz — 3%
- Carnita Atwater — 3%
- Tim Cyr — 3%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.