South Dakota Governor 2026 Runoff
The South Dakota Governor runoff is scheduled for July 28, 2026. The model favors Toby Doeden at 55%, ahead of Larry Rhoden at 45%. Toby Doeden has the most tracked endorsements and incumbent Larry Rhoden trails in the forecast. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Toby Doeden — 55%
- Larry Rhoden (incumbent) — 45%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.