South Dakota Governor 2026 General Election
The South Dakota Governor general election is on November 3, 2026. The model sees a close race: Republican Toby Doeden edges Democrat Daniel Ahlers, 50% to 50%. Toby Doeden has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Toby Doeden — 50%
- Daniel Ahlers — 50%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.