South Carolina Senate 2026 Primary

The South Carolina Senate primary is scheduled for June 9, 2026. The model makes Kasie Whitener the heavy favorite at 96%, with Jason Brenkus at 4%. Kasie Whitener leads the field in reported fundraising. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

  1. Kasie Whitener — 96%
  2. Jason Brenkus — 4%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

All 2026 race forecasts · About the model