South Carolina 1st — House 2026 Dem Primary
The South Carolina 1st — House dem primary is scheduled for June 9, 2026. The model makes Nancy Lacore the clear favorite at 82%, ahead of Mac Deford at 4% in a 7-candidate field. Nancy Lacore leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Nancy Lacore — 82%
- Mac Deford — 4%
- Mayra Rivera-Vazquez — 3%
- Francina Dantzler — 3%
- Matt Fulmer — 3%
- Max Diaz — 3%
- Ben Frasier — 3%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.