South Carolina Governor 2026 Rep Primary

The South Carolina Governor rep primary is scheduled for June 9, 2026. The model sees a close race: Alan Wilson edges Pamela Evette, 32% to 23% in a 6-candidate field. Ralph Norman leads the field in reported fundraising and Pamela Evette has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

1. Alan Wilson — 32%
2. Pamela Evette — 23%
3. Ralph Norman — 23%
4. Rom Reddy — 11%
5. Nancy Mace — 9%
6. Josh Kimbrell — 2%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.

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