Rhode Island Governor 2026 Rep Primary

The Rhode Island Governor rep primary is scheduled for September 8, 2026. The model makes Aaron Guckian the heavy favorite at 92%, with Elaine Pelino at 4% in a 3-candidate field. Aaron Guckian leads the field in reported fundraising. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

  1. Aaron Guckian — 92%
  2. Elaine Pelino — 4%
  3. Robert Raimondo — 4%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

All 2026 race forecasts · About the model