Rhode Island Governor 2026 Dem Primary

The Rhode Island Governor dem primary is scheduled for September 8, 2026. The model sees a close race: Helena Foulkes edges Dan McKee, 48% to 48% in a 4-candidate field. Helena Foulkes leads the field in reported fundraising and incumbent Dan McKee trails in the forecast. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

  1. Helena Foulkes — 48%
  2. Dan McKee (incumbent) — 48%
  3. Gregory Stevens — 2%
  4. Wil Gregerson — 2%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

All 2026 race forecasts · About the model