Pennsylvania 12th — House 2026 General Election
The Pennsylvania 12th — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Democrat Summer Lee the heavy favorite at 100%, with Republican James Hayes at 0%. Summer Lee is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Summer Lee (incumbent) — 100%
- James Hayes — 0%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.